Neighborhood Life
Cycles-(cont.)
Source:
Houses by Henry S. Harrison
Land prices in the neighborhood should also be checked.
If they are consistently rising, the neighborhood can usually
be assumed to be in a stage of growth. Another sign of
neighborhood upsurge is the scarcity of vacant houses.
If the turnover of houses is slow, residents are obviously
satisfied.
There are several early warning signs that foretell a
neighborhood’s period of decline. The population may
consist of high percentages of unskilled workers and workers
representing only one industry. Another sign may be a
high percentage of older couples who are long time residents
and whose children are grown and have left home. An area
where development of available vacant land has stopped and
where large houses are being converted into apartments and
rooming houses is also probably a bad risk. In addition,
factors such as absentee owners, houses in bad repair, houses
in foreclosure, an over abundance of “for sale” signs, a
decrease in rental rates and a breakdown in the enforcement of
zoning regulations and deed restrictions are often warnings of
an impending period of decline.